Thursday Evening Soccer FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS lineup recommendation for Week 11 Cardinals-Seahawks single-game tournaments
The Cardinals and the Seahawks are playing on Thursday Night Football in Week 11 with the winner getting a chance to take control of the NFC West. This is a rematch of an exciting overtime game from a couple of weeks ago that went the distance and saw the Cardinals emerge victoriously. The Seahawks will be out for revenge while the Cardinals, fresh off a Hail Mary win against the Bills, will look to stay hot. This likely shootout features plenty of high-upside options for those in NFL DFS contests, and our FanDuel Single-game lineup is stacked — with one notable exception.
There are so many top-tier contributors that creating a lineup was tricky because we couldn’t afford all the players we wanted. That’s always a good sign for Thursday night games. Our MVP choice came down to a chalky QB or a more contrarian receiver pick, but since FanDuel in 0.5 PPR, we went with the quarterback. While one passer made the cut for our lineup, we’re fading the other quarterback and one of the top WRs on the slate for the purposes of lineup differentiation. That said, our strategy was to include players that give us most of that QB’s production anyway, so we hopefully won’t miss out too much by not having Russell Wilson in our lineup.
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FanDuel Single-Game Picks: Seahawks vs. Cardinals
MVP (1.5x points): Kyler Murray, Cardinals ($17,000)
There are quite a few good MVP options for this slate, but we’re going with Murray. He’ll likely be one of the top options in the position, but it’s just too dangerous to fade him in this spot because of his rushing floor. Murray is averaging 67.1 rushing yards per game and has 10 rush TDs on the season. There was only one game in which he didn’t log a score on the ground, and in that one, he had three touchdown passes. Murray should continue to run well against the Seahawks and could repeat the 38.1-point outing he had against them a couple of weeks ago. The Seahawks have allowed the second-most FanDuel points per game (FD PPG) to QBs this year (25.9) and Murray is averaging 30.16 FD PPG. Definitely use him as the MVP, as he is likely to be the top scorer on this slate.
FLEX: DK Metcalf, Seahawks ($13,500)
Affording both Murray and Russell Wilson in the same lineup is doable, but it necessitates spending down at all the skill positions. That isn’t ideal, so to counteract that, we’ll be going with a couple of Wilson’s top weapons instead. Metcalf is one of the best young wideouts in the NFL and is coming off a down game (two catches, 28 yards) against the Rams. Metcalf only caught two passes last time Seattle played Arizona, but he had a long screen pass TD wiped out by a penalty and has mostly found success in other matchups (he has at least 17 FD points in six-of-nine games this year). Metcalf is due for a bounce back, and given that the Cardinals have allowed the eighth-most FPPG to WRs (33.8), Metcalf can be trusted.
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FLEX: Tyler Lockett, Seahawks ($13,000)
Lockett is Wilson’s other top target that we’re going after. He and Metcalf combined have accounted for 53.7 percent of the Seahawks’ receiving yards and 53.6 percent of their receiving TDs on the year. So, by having both of them, we should get a majority of Wilson’s offensive production and offset any losses we may endure from not having him in the lineup. Last time the Seahawks played the Cardinals, Lockett was a monster and totaled 15 catches, 200 yards, and three TDs while receiving a whopping 20 targets. He may not post that type of production again, but the Cardinals still may have trouble slowing him down in this matchup. The only question with Lockett is that he’s dealing with a knee injury. If he can’t play, the logical pivot here would be to DeAndre Hopkins, who is just $500 more expensive than Lockett. That wiggle room is built into this lineup.
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FLEX: Christian Kirk, Cardinals ($10,500)
Before posting just four catches for 27 yards against the Bills, Kirk had been on a tear. In games against the Cowboys, Seahawks, and Dolphins, he posted 12 catches for 246 yards and five TDs. In his past three games, he is averaging 7.3 targets per outing and he should have a chance to tear apart a Seahawks secondary that has allowed 195 receptions for 2,428 yards to WRs this year, both good for the most in the NFL. Stacking Kirk with Murray gives us some great upside 00 and it’s upside that is slightly less chalky than the Murray-Hopkins stack that many will have.
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FLEX: Dan Arnold, Cardinals ($5,500)
To afford all of these values, we had to spend down at one spot and choose a bottom-barrel value play. That ended up being Arnold. Arizona saw Darrell Daniels go down with an injury on Sunday, and Maxx Williams is banged up, as well. As a result, Arnold could be the only healthy TE on the Cardinals roster if neither Daniels nor Williams can play on the short week. In his past three games, Arnold has seen eight targets and caught seven for 107 yards. That includes two catches for 57 yards against the Seahawks. Arnold is an athletic TE, and while his floor is low, his ceiling is high enough to warrant taking a chance on him, especially if he has to play a bulk of the snaps at TE.